The Zimbabwe government overspent by 25 percent in the eight months to August, with the cost of foreign travel skyrocketing, while revenue collection missed targets due to poor economic performance, a report by a think tank has shown.
The government ran a budget deficit of $240 million after expenditure amounted to $2.54 billion against revenue of $2.3 billion, according to a report by the Zimbabwe Economic Policy Analysis and Research Unit (ZEPARU) released today.
Foreign travel expenses exceeded budget by nearly 240 percent while employment costs and capital works overshot the target by 16 percent and 23 percent, respectively.
To plug the gap, government used a combination of a rare surplus from the previous quarter and domestic loans and treasury bills amounting to $171.3 million.
Recurrent expenditure at 94 percent was 16.4 percent higher than the target, ZEPARU noted.
Revenue collection was getting worse after falling behind target by $208.1 million — 4.2 percent below last year’s figures for the same period underpinned by low industrial capacity utilisation, company closures and depressed consumer demand.
“Tight liquidity conditions, which have manifested in decelerating money supply growth and high interest rates, have continued to depress economic activity through limiting consumption and investment,” said ZEPARU.
The continued free fall in commodity prices had hit the mining sector hard and affected its contribution to economic activity, it noted.
Gold deliveries rose by 34.2 percent to 13 211kilogrammes — anchored by a 115 percent increase in deliverances by artisanal miners — about three quarters of the target of 17 500kg.
But mineral earnings for the nine months to September — excluding diamond revenue — fell 11 percent to $1.26 billion with gold, platinum, palladium and nickel contributing 85 percent to the total earnings.
ZEPARU said inflation, which closed at -3.29 percent in October, is likely to edge to -1.87 percent in December.
“The government has taken action to tackle deflation. For example, it has put into place measures to reduce imports by removing basic goods from travellers’ rebate and banning the importation of second-hand clothes,” said ZEPARU.
“This is likely to impose some level of upward pressure on the inflation rate, as these were exerting high levels of competition on domestic producers,” it added, noting however, that the measures were not enough to break the economy out of deflation.-The Source
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