Gorden Moyo predicted that there would be a backlash against the MDC

Gorden Moyo predicted only one month after the formation of the inclusive government that there could be a backlash against the Movement for Democratic Change when it failed to meet the salaries of civil servants and pay its bills.

Moyo, who was Minister of State in the Prime Minister’s Office at the time, said while the payment of civil servants in hard currency had been credited to the MDC, the government was in a financial squeeze.

He said although the MDC had won some leverage over the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front, it had lost that leverage as ZANU-PF sat on the sidelines gleefully watching MDC ministers struggle with the financial situation.

Full cable:

Viewing cable 09HARARE257, MDC ON LAND SEIZURES, POLITICS

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RUEHGV/USMISSION GENEVA 2012

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C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 HARARE 000257

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AF/S FOR B.WALCH

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ADDIS ABABA FOR USAU

ADDIS ABABA FOR ACSS

STATE PASS TO USAID FOR J. HARMON AND L. DOBBINS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/26/2019

TAGS: PGOV PREL ASEC PHUM ZI

SUBJECT: MDC ON LAND SEIZURES, POLITICS

Classified By: CDA Katherine Dhanani for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d)

———————

MDC Minister of State

———————

¶1. (C) Gorden Moyo is the Minister of State in Prime

Minister Tsvangirai’s office. He serves as a chief of staff

for Tsvangirai, helping to coordinate MDC policy and serving

as a liaison with ZANU-PF. Moyo offered us his observations

March 26 on land seizures and the political situation.

¶2. (C) According to Moyo, a “fiery” debate took place at the

Cabinet meeting on March 24 with the MDC asserting that farm

invasions were occuring and should stop, and that white

farmers were being illegally evicted. Leading the MDC charge

were Moyo, Minister of Finance Tendai Biti, Minister of

Information Communications Technology Nelson Chamisa, and

Minister of Home Affairs Giles Mutsekwa. Although most

ZANU-PF ministers, led by Minister of Justice Patrick

Chinamasa pushed back and argued that legal processes were

being followed and that there was no need for action, Vice

President Joice Mujuru and Minister of Transport and

Infrastucture Development Nicholas Goche sided with the MDC.

Mujuru said the invasions and evictions would have a negative

effect on the winter wheat crop. Goche was concerned that

violations of Bilateral Investment Protection and Promotion

(BIPPA) agreements through the seizure of foreign-owned farms

would adversely impact Zimbabwe’s foreign relations.

¶3. (C) Ultimately, Mugabe and Cabinet agreed to refer the

issue to the Joint Monitoring and Implementation Committee

(JOMIC) for documentation of specific violations, and also to

initiate a farm audit. Government principals Mugabe,

Tsvangirai, and Deputy Prime Minister Arthur Mutambara will

meet March 30 on the land issue. The MDC will demand that

Mugabe issue a public statement condemning the invasions and

ordering that they cease. If Mugabe does not do so, the MDC

will ask for the intervention of SADC.

¶4. (C) Turning to the political economy, Moyo said inability

to pay civil servant salaries and at the same time meet

recurring expenditures and make capital investments was

crippling the government and weakening the MDC. He said

payment in forex of February salaries had been credited to

the MDC and, demonstrating it could produce, had given it

leverage with ZANU-PF. Government was now in a financial

squeeze. It had been unable to fully pay March salaries and

the potential inability to pay fuel and energy bills could

soon result in petrol shortages and increased power outages.

As a result, Moyo opined, the MDC had lost its leverage as

ZANU-PF (or at least the hardliners) sat on the sidelines

gleefully watching MDC ministers struggle with the financial

situation. Moyo feared that there could soon be

demonstrations and teacher strikes directed at the MDC.

——-

COMMENT

——-

¶5. (C) Farm seizures and evictions have accelerated since

Tsvangirai’s inauguration on February 11 due to a combination

QTsvangirai’s inauguration on February 11 due to a combination

of factors: ZANU-PF’s political tactic of trying to get the

MDC to take what may be perceived as an anti-liberation,

pro-Western position, a desire to loot machinery and other

farm appurtenances; and a last-gasp seizure of farms in the

event that rule of law is ultimately restored. The MDC has

belatedly addressed this issue (by some estimates only about

100 white farms remain), but we’re dubious that ZANU-PF will

sincerely cooperate in dealing with the probem.

¶6. (C) According to the IMF, government reenues are

HARARE 00000257 002 OF 002

sufficient to pay civil service salaries, but inadequate

payment mechanisms are preventing this being done in a timely

manner. Even if salaries can be paid, there is little left

for recurring government expenses and capital investment to

improve, for example, the water and energy infrastructure.

The MDC is increasingly fearful that ZANU-PF–and more

importantly the Zimbabwean people–will blame it for failing

to deliver.

DHANANI

(60 VIEWS)